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Crude should bottom out mid 2015: Sieminski
18 Nov 2014, 10.08 pm GMT
Houston, 18 November (Argus) — Oil prices should bottom out by the middle of next year, Energy Information Administration head Adam Sieminski said today on the sidelines of the 2014 Deloitte Oil & Gas Conference in Houston, Texas.
The low end of agency forecasts for benchmark WTI show a price of $62/bl next year, he said. Nymex December WTI was trading at $74.39/bl at midday.
Prices as low as $50/bl were "not out of the realm of possibility," he said, noting crude had traded there historically.
Prices were more likely to stick in the $80/bl range for a while, he said.
Heavily-leveraged oil companies could risk takeover or shut down amid such prices. The prices could also affect major capital projects still in the permitting phase, such as liquefied natural gas export terminals, he said.
But such projects take a 30-year view of petroleum prices. Long-term demand continues to grow.
"I would say in the very, very near term, it's probably not going to make much of a difference to projects that are solidly underway," Sieminski said.